Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006400 0.007374 0.008512 0.009955 0.011761 0.013979 0.016964
2025-11-09 0.004880 0.005994 0.007420 0.009433 0.012289 0.016351 0.022880
2025-11-16 0.004064 0.005193 0.006728 0.009054 0.012661 0.018390 0.029049
2025-11-23 0.003654 0.004827 0.006503 0.009207 0.013758 0.021805 0.039256
2025-11-30 0.003271 0.004427 0.006142 0.009045 0.014259 0.024340 0.049441
2025-12-07 0.002935 0.004048 0.005746 0.008732 0.014387 0.026185 0.059489
2025-12-14 0.002699 0.003787 0.005495 0.008608 0.014822 0.028841 0.074254
2025-12-21 0.002580 0.003691 0.005491 0.008916 0.016196 0.034309 0.105088
2025-12-28 0.002500 0.003649 0.005567 0.009382 0.018048 0.042114 0.160866
2026-01-04 0.002379 0.003523 0.005481 0.009509 0.019164 0.048568 0.229416
2026-01-11 0.002241 0.003357 0.005302 0.009413 0.019700 0.053559 0.309434
2026-01-18 0.002135 0.003236 0.005192 0.009442 0.020582 0.060566 0.451576
2026-01-25 0.001998 0.003059 0.004977 0.009254 0.020951 0.066589 0.659561
2026-02-01 0.001841 0.002838 0.004658 0.008785 0.020390 0.068313 0.842699
2026-02-08 0.001714 0.002661 0.004409 0.008441 0.020125 0.071484 1.159317
2026-02-15 0.001651 0.002592 0.004365 0.008580 0.021460 0.085034 2.584368
2026-02-22 0.001565 0.002477 0.004216 0.008433 0.021795 0.093447 5.147857
2026-03-01 0.001475 0.002346 0.004024 0.008149 0.021562 0.098041 9.550154
2026-03-08 0.001408 0.002255 0.003904 0.008037 0.021941 0.108195 32.044803
2026-03-15 0.001379 0.002234 0.003931 0.008316 0.023967 0.137179 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001363 0.002235 0.004004 0.008739 0.026838 0.186033 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001324 0.002189 0.003971 0.008854 0.028451 0.228785 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001274 0.002119 0.003875 0.008767 0.029084 0.261490 NaN